Měření averze ke ztrátě soukromého investora

Purpose of the article: This paper gives an empirical view on behaviorance of private investor who is loss averse and whether a loss aversive private investor should invest into such risky assets as equity? The main focus is on the use of robust statistical methods and prospect theory for estimation of equity indexes’ selected characteristics, mainly risk characteristics. The paper contains a detail discussion, which one risk metric for assets seems suitable for private investor who is loss averse. Scientific aim of this article: The aim of the article is a critically describe the problems related with private investor’s loss aversion behaviorance and how the concept of loss aversion should by applied into equities (or equity indices) investment. The crucial problem is how to measure loss aversion of private investor investing in equities. Methodology/methods: The primary and secondary research was applied. Selected scientific articles and other literature published with the topic of prospect theory and risk measurement are mainly used to support a critical analyse of how private investor’s loss aversion should be define and measured in the reality – in the financial/investment area. Next the primary research was done with selected equity indexes. As the representants of equity indexes were chosen not only “typical” representative as MSCI World index but mainly some derivatives of indexes which track a dividend strategy (indexes comprising stocks of companies that pay dividends). Findings: Loss aversive investor worries about any loss of value of their wealth. If these investors choose to invest in stocks they should prefer to invest in the stock indexes with down-side risk close to zero, respectively those indexes whose down-side risk is lowest among all. This down-risk should by measure with using belowtarget semivariance. A standard deviation method as a tool for measurement of risk for loss aversive investor is not so proper due the fact that large positive outcomes are treated as equally risky as large negative ones. In practice, however, positive outliers should be regarded as a bonus and not as a risk. Conclusions: A loss averse investors should some part of his/her wealth invest into equity indexes (may be 15%, max.25%). As the best equity index for a loss adverse investor was chosen Natural Monopoly Index 30 Infrastructure Global with the smallest down side risk

The spatial distribution of largest firms in the Czech Republic and its managerial implications

Corporate headquarters, which occupy the top of enterprise organizational hierarchies became the subject of an increased interest in last three decades. Until now, post-transformation economies suffer from a distinct cognitive gap in this respect. The main objective of this paper is to analyse and interpret the development of the spatial pattern of top 100 biggest companies in the Czech Republic. Both quantitative and qualitative dimension of this issue will be investigated in the frame of this article. The basic territorial level we examine is constituted by self-governing regions. Finally, particular managerial and regionally-orientated recommendations for both largest enterprises and public administration will be formulated. Highlights for public administration, management and planning: Foreign owners of largest enterprises perceive the location decision-making as much more complex and versatile process than their Czech counterparts. Owners from advanced economies accentuate soft location factors more intensely than their domestic peers. Regional authorities should develop more initiatives and improve their institutional density to become investor-friendly and bait the corporate headquarters. Both regional authorities and enterprise managements should concentrate on the creation of milieu conducive to quality labour.Web of Science122837

Bootstrap Estimation of Expected Risk and Return of Strategy Equity Indices

The aim of this article is to present the results of research associated with the ex-post estimation of expected risk, return and other characteristics of strategy equity indices and capital-weighted equity indices partially and to determine credible methods for a transparent comparison. The data sources are the MSCI and STOXX equity index providers. Suitable statistical methods and a computation-intensive method for estimating selected characteristics have been used and compared to one another. For the measurement of excess return per unit of risk a modified Sortino ratio was used, which takes into account only the downside size and frequency of returns, measuring the return to negative volatility trade-off. Based on our results, it is apparent that some strategic equity indices outperform capital-weighted equity indices in a long-term investment perspective (1997-2018). A suitable combination of strategic equity indices, namely the mix of dividend strategy and momentum strategy may lead to the highest yield / risk ratio expressed by the Sortino ratio. The outperformance path of a mix of dividends and momentum strategy indices is much more stable than either the performance of the individual strategy equity indices or capital-weighted equity indices alone

Changes in real income of households in the Czech Republic due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine

The objective of the paper was to assess the impact of the invasion of Ukraine by the Russian Federation on real household income in the Czech Republic. The research methods used in the study include content analysis, seasonal modification of SARIMA, and discounting method, specifically NPV. Data were collected from publicly available sources of the Czech Statistical Office. Based on a content analysis of the macroeconomic indicators under study, inflation and gross monthly household income were selected to examine further development of real household income in the Czech Republic. Based on historical data, the SARIMA model made statistically relevant forecasts of the selected variables for the "pre-war" year 2022. Comparing real and forecast data, it was confirmed that the Russian invasion of Ukraine (from 24th February 2022 onwards) has shown how vulnerable the European financial system is to external shocks, which can be observed in significant inflationary changes. The ability of the SARIMA model to handle a larger range of data and accurately determined seasonality was demonstrated in forecasting the development of real household income. The identified economic consequences of deviations of the real and forecast figures in the "pre-war" period showed new realities in turbulent economic conditions. In order to further expand the research, combining the applied method with other analytical tools can be recommended. Moreover, it is advisable to include new relevant variables in the model. This would allow understanding better and forecasting the development of real household income in the context of current economic events

Measuring Corporate Sustainability and Environmental, Social, and Corporate Governance Value Added

The aim of the paper is to propose a model for measuring sustainable value which would complexly assess environmental, social, and corporate governance contribution to value creation. In the paper the concept of the Sustainable Environmental, Social and Corporate Governance Value Added is presented. The Sustainable Environmental, Social and Corporate Governance Value Added is based on the Sustainable Value Added model and combines weighted environmental, social, and corporate governance indicators with their benchmarks determined by Data Envelopment Analysis. Benchmark values of indicators were set for each company separately and determine the optimal combination of environmental, social, and corporate governance inputs to economic outcomes. The Sustainable Environmental, Social and Corporate Governance Value Added methodology is applied on real-life corporate data and presented through a case study. The value added of most of the selected companies was negative, even though economic indicators of all of them are positive. The Sustainable Environmental, Social and Corporate Governance Value Added is intended to help owners, investors, and other stakeholders in their decision-making and sustainability assessment. The use of environmental, social, and corporate governance factors helps identify the company’s strengths and weaknesses, and provides a more sophisticated insight into it than the one-dimensional methods based on economic performance alone